Are you dreaming of a white Christmas? Perhaps just like the ones you used to have? Well, when it comes to the weather, hope alone won’t get you very far. Luckily Environment Canada has our backs and every year they produce a white Christmas probability forecast based on historical weather and climate data.
If you’re wondering, Christmas is officially ‘white’ if there is 2 centimeters (or more) of snow on the ground on the morning of the 25th. Inspecting Environment Canada’s findings confirm our suspicions that Christmas is getting less snowy over time.
So what Canadian cities are statistical sure things White Christmas-wise? Whitehorse, Yellowknife and Iqaluit are obvious winners, and Goose Bay, Newfoundland is likely to be one of the snowiest places in Canada, as it has been for the last five decades.
On the other end of the spectrum, it should surprise no one that Victoria only has a 15% chance of having snowy terrain next Tuesday, closely followed by Vancouver and Penticton – both with 20% odds. While many Canadians would probably be more than willing to shovel their driveways on Christmas, it looks like our friends in the west will be enjoying near-patio weather.